May 10th Daily Watchlist - 7 rewatches, 3 new watches

Prior Day Market: S&P – up 0.07%; NSDQ microcap – up 0.5%;

Top watches today - $UPLMQ $ARGS $PRGN

First day watch à

CRNT looking for it to break $1.60. First large green day yesterday with 20%. Would short on rejection in morning spike.

Levels: $1.60

NWBO LT d/t but bouncing off lows. G/r at $1.27 RL $1.30 (3%). OVAS LT d/t bouncing off lows as well as NWBO, break above $7.20 or fall below $6.80. Look for g/r $7.07 for $6.50-$6 (9%)  RL $7.20 (2%)

Multi-day watch à

Overextended shorts

UPLMQ two day spike piece of crap with LT D/T. Look for signs of weakness. Look to short into morning spike or below $0.40 if rejection. Fourth green day in a row, doubled in value.

Levels: Finished $0.378 but short below $0.35 RL $0.36.

ARGS had a massive spike recently met with large short selling. Spiked again for first day on Friday, look for levels to short into, has potential to squeeze like in the past. Could squeeze upwards but expecting fall, good below $5 for b/d.

Levels:  Below $7 with RL $7.13 (2%), look for morning rejection of $7.60.   

PRGN being watched for short squeezes, but up way too much and will come down, just a matter of when.

Levels: Went r/g on day and finished down from open.  Below $1.75 for $1.65 (10%) RL $1.78 (2%), below that for $1.50 - $1.46 (10%)

SPPI had run up this year but approaching $7.50-$8 2 year resistance levels which have historically rejected and rejected recently.

Rejected $7.30 in morning, falling 4% to $7 area. Expecting this to bounce further but looking to short on g/r.

SYNC had first red day after huge gap up and spike. Potential morning spike to short into strength, finished down 5% Friday.  Gone up 114% in two days.

Levels: below $3.30 RL $3.45 (5%) and then below $3 for $2.85 ish based on historical drop %.

UNT historical spikes always met with falls. Up 20%. Runs for a few days before fall in past.  

Levels: Rejection from $12.80 in morning spike. G/r signalled short. Watching for G/r at $12.10 area.

CLNE historical spikes met with selling AFTER 1-2 DAYS.

Recap à Fell below $3.20 for $3.05 low (5%). B/d below $3.15 (prev. day high and close).

May 9th Daily Watchlist - 13 new watches

Top watches today - $SPPI $SYNC $UPLMQ

First day watch à

Overextended shorts

SPPI had run up this year but approaching $7.50-$8 2 year resistance levels which have historically rejected and rejected recently. Looking for a double top on this but has potential to go further with only 11% gain on the day.

Levels: $7.30-$7.40 RL $7.50 (3%)

SYNC had first red day after huge gap up and spike. Potential morning spike to short into strength, finished down 5% Friday.  Gone up 114% in two days.

Levels: below $3.30 RL $3.45 (5%) and then below $3 for $2.85 ish based on historical drop %.

UPLMQ two day spike piece of crap with LT D/T. Look for signs of weakness. Look to short into morning spike or below $0.40 if rejection. Fourth green day in a row, doubled in value.

Levels: Below $0.40 RL $0.42 (5%) for $0.34 - $0.30.

ARGS had a massive spike recently met with large short selling. Spiked again for first day on Friday, look for levels to short into, has potential to squeeze like in the past. Could squeeze upwards but expecting fall, good below $5 for b/d.

Levels: $6.40 rejection. Below $5.80 for $5.30-$5.40. $5 b/d.

PRGN being watched for short squeezes, but up way too much and will come down, just a matter of when.  Short below $1.45 for $1 but risk of short squeeze so RL low at $1.52 (5%).  

UNT historical spikes always met with falls. Up 20%. Runs for a few days before fall in past.  

Levels: Couldn’t break $12.60. $13-13.20 could reject but only watching.

CVGI looking for it to spike some more to $3.25-$3.50 area again for short like in YTD chart. Expecting more green days from historical chart, before it falls. Low float.

EVDY check $7 level for short. Failed morning spike on Friday but finished above $6 resistance. First green day so just watching.

CLNE historical spikes met with selling AFTER 1-2 DAYS.

Levels: $3.20 rejection or fall below after morning spike.

GRWC and MWOG p&d’s. Watch for fall as they’ve spiked over 3-5 times value in April.

Earnings winners

SNCR fairly choppy historically but in large spike and falling below $35 resistance. First green day so could spike but would look to short around $40. I don’t like stocks priced this high, especially earnings winners like this.

Levels: $35, $40

ATTU slow D/T, sudden volume spike second green day. Earnings winner with potential to spike further. Low float but not great spikeability.

Levels: B/o or double top $9.60.

April 29th Daily Watchlist - 7 rewatches, 14 new watches

Testing out a new format, lots of interesting earnings and sympathy plays..

7 rewatches, 14 new watches

Prior Day Market: S&P – up 0.1%; NSDQ microcap – up 1%;

Top watches - $UNXL $LGCY $MITK $CBAY

Multi-day watch à

FMSA sand based products for oil and gas hugely overvalued

Category: Low float spike

Catalyst: Low float, historical spikes

Levels: $4.50 b/o for $5, RL $4.40

BCEI energy play doubled in ten days, fund. weak. but high spikeability

Category:

Catalyst: “lesser” energy play but high spikeability (37% short float)

Levels: B/d $3.95. RL $4.05.

CBAY biotech had first red

Category:

Catalyst: prior spikes of three/four days end in selling

Levels: $2.62 (day low), $2.57, target $2.40.

GSL containerships long term downtrend spiked and finished above high of $2.20

Category: Earnings winner

Catalyst: earnings

Levels: B/o $2.30 targeting 40 cents/share, RL $2.30

UNXL microstructure film materials with large hist. spikeability

Category: spikeability

Catalyst: contract wins weekly, low float

Levels: Double top $2.70

LGCY oil and gas play look for consolidation then weakness.

Category: Long term down spiked up on hype

Catalyst: Always falls on spikes to lower lows, “lesser” play

Levels: $2.90 b/d to $2.66 and $2 target below that. RL $3.00

GPL trending up metal play at highs from 2013, $1.40 to $1.95 in 5 days. Hype, watch for change in momentum.

Category: pump and dump

Catalyst: Hype/manipulation

Levels: $2 b/o to $2.30-$2.50

First day watch à

DHRM huuuge spikeability but choppy LT. Contract winner doubling in a day.

Category: Earnings/contract

Catalyst: at highs, contract

Levels: Buy above $2. $2.85 b/o. RL $1.89.

CDRB software company huge spikeability, double bottom bouncing and long term die pattern, will come down eventually but still some steam left I feel

Category: No news spiker

Catalyst: spikeability, bouncing off double bottom, room to extend further

Levels: $3.07 b/o for 7-14% at $3.30-$3.50.

BGC gap up above b/o

Category: Earnings/contract

Catalyst: at highs, contract

Levels: Buy above $16.32 (year resistance) for $18-$20, $14 huge resistance, may also bounce at $15.50

BCOR die and spike pattern on spike b/o with lots of green candles

Category: Earnings/contract

Catalyst: at highs, contract, low float high short

Levels: $8 key area for $9

MITK break three year highs and first green day on earnings news, gap up and morning spike, going over highs in afternoon after bouncing at $7

Category: Earnings/contract

Catalyst: Above 3 year highs, contract, first green day, up 20%

Levels: $7.50, RL $7.20 (4%)

Other earnings winners and levels: AMD ($3.80, RL $3.74(2%)) BEAT ($15.86, RL $15.40 (3%)), SONS (Bounce $8.30, $9, RL $8.67 (4%)),

AXAS commodity oil linked broken highs, overextended? Dying long term but spikeable

Category: Overextended

Catalyst:

Levels:  Below $1.40 for $1.20 (16%) RL $1.50 (7%)

PRGN, SINO, GLBS, ULTR, DRYS all spiking in correlation with PRGN huge gain of 600% in one day. PRGN could spike again above $2.20.  If it does, other plays should spike. Watch for fall early next week.

Watchlist delay

Sometimes takes over and unfortunately gets in the way, I won't be putting out a watchlist for 28th April in time for the market open. I will put up my recap for 27th April ASAP and then resume normal daily watchlists from tonight.

Some things I've learnt this week:
1.In a hot market, spikeability in low float stocks is huge and they just keep running

2. You can only be bearish at times when the momentum turns in this market (sometimes despite the company's having poor fundamentals) remember that 3/4 stocks follow the market

April 27th Daily Watchlist - 9 rewatches, 5 new watches

Prior Day Market: S&P – up 0.1%; NSDQ microcap – up 1%;

Top watches - $FMSA $BCEI $CBAY $GSL $DRWI $SAH

Having to get meticulous with my watches, narrowing down my searches and choosing only the better plays to watch.

Top watches à

FMSA high short Ratio could squeeze on breakouts above $4 but bearish view. Short below $3.80 targeting $3.50 and $3.20. Potential HOT PLAY as spikes historically have been met with quick selling after four/five days and 1.6x price in 10 days.

BCEI stock nearly doubled in ten days and fundamentally weak, showed a change in momentum here, could not break previous day high of $3.90, 7 times in two days (30 min candle), should fall to $3.40 and if strong b/d to $3. Good one to watch tomorrow. Energy plays seem to be hot at the moment but “lesser” companies will begin to crack.

CBAY had really low volume all day until spike in last 10 minutes pushing above $2.64 and finishing at $2.81. Look for rejection at $2.89 for momentum shift downwards, and break below $2.64 for big move down to $2. Previous spikes of three/four days met with selling.

GSL up from $1.30 to $1.8 but lots of historical resistance above $2 line. Always dropped on spikes. Look for rejection at $2.10 or $2 to short. Fundamentals support theory that this is up on manipulation. This is one to watch in next few days if volume picks up!! Consolidating after three strong previous green days, good for short below $1.80 for fall to $1.50. SHORT.

DRWI spiked in April, now bouncing with no news, looks like CFO sold $4million in shares after close yesterday. Short below $6.40 and b/d $6.20, bitter shareholders from price drop will sell into spike. Low market cap and overextended on book value. SHORT

SAH is an automotive repair/dealer with fairly large cap. Watch for break around $20, prior spikes have fallen. Earnings winner so looking for b/o above $19.20 for $1 per share and above $20.20 good b/o. BUY

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Multi-day watch à

UNXL had a double top. If it cannot break $2.25 support on high volume another potential short back to $1.75 again.

LGCY oil and gas play – hot sector! broke out above $1.60 ish on high volume. Long term crow pattern (dying), always falls on spikes to lower lows. Look for consolidation then weakness. Consolidating below $3. Good for short to $2.40 and $2 target below that.

AVXL up on positive Alzheimer drug news. $6.35 BO and $6.50 push through on high volume. Fundamental’s not dire but would consider shorting below $5.90. B/d below $5.90 but bounced. Mistake suggesting to short below $5.90 on good news!! Especially with biotech sector reaching new highs. Look for b/o.

BTUUQ pink sheet highly volatile and liquid. Gone from $0.60 to $1.60 in ten days. $1.78 high to break. Poor company stats but potential for high squeeze given 58% short ratio.  Squeeze during morning spike and high volume by 26% but lost all gains in afternoon. Losing momentum, watch for green to red switch.

VKTX broke $1.55 in morning spike on high volume. From $1.20 to $1.7 region in four days (40% gain). BO above $1.80 and holding $1.65, previous spikes always sold into (LT downtrend) so look for change in momentum to the downside with first red day; green red switch on daily. On breaking previous day close and low it fell in panic and bounced around $1.40. Breaking back below $1.50 good for short to $1.35.

First day watch à

SMMT massive volume and approaching yearly highs of $13.20 up on FDA clearance for US testing phase 2. Only interested if breaks yearly highs for b/o and strong volume. BUY

CALL a good spike and drop historically, quite a big company with ok fundamentals. 18% shares short leaving room for good squeeze. B/o above $6.40 with potential for $7-$7.20 if high vol. squeeze. BUY

GPL b/o of key resistance level since start of 2013. Trebled from 50 cents/share to $1.50 but will it reject at $1.75, could cause big sell off from long term shareholders as seen in the past. Looks like a Rodman and Renshaw pump and dump, let’s see how high this can go before the dump.

Secondary Watches à

RPRX began falling finally, at $2.50 area, strong area for break below. Down on day below $2.5 as expected during high vol. in morning. Could not break $2.40. If it can break $2.20 it could drop towards $1.

SEED is a classic pump and dump pattern where spikes always met by rapid price falls. Strong movement at end of day as a result of changing directors pulling above previous high of $2.26. Look for dump. Gap up after hours was met by furious panic selling on open after news went public, did not bounce strong. B/d below $2.08 could head to $1.80 but bulk move is now gone.

NEOT breakout above 1.22. Not a great short squeeze opportunity. High volume trading but news not apparent. Gone from $0.70 to $1.20. Holding $1.25 intraday but finishing low. Stock has now doubled. Drop of 10% intraday after breaking $1.25. Will not trade below $1 but potential to fall to $0.70-$0.80 below $1.

HTM 52W highs after breaking $0.70. Key resistance at $0.85 area. Renewable energy play with ok fundamentals and at book value. Not a great play IMO but overextended, and SEC filing reveals shares financed at a discount at $0.72 area. Watch on back.

CCLP gas and oil play from $6.50 to $9 in four days. Expecting fall after fourth green day. Target $8.20 (7%). Broke above high of $9.18 and went to $10, historically $10 has been strong support. Momentum turning round and looking good below $9.10.

MCUR has crappy company fundamentals IMO. Down 17% on the day and bounced at $1.25 like predicted. Putting on next day watchlist to see extent of bounce but will only look for shorts now, cannot even hold two days of gains.

April 26th Daily Watchlist Recap - 14 rewatches, 10 new watches

Day Market: S&P – up 0.1%; NSDQ microcap – up 1%;

Top watches tomorrow - $FMSA $BCEI $CBAY $GSL

Multi-day watch à

RPRX began falling finally, at $2.50 area, strong area for break below. Down on day below $2.5 as expected during high vol. in morning. Could not break $2.40. If it can break $2.20 it could drop towards $1.

FMSA high short Ratio could squeeze on breakouts. B/o above $4 in afternoon but faded to $3.89 for finish. First red day, is momentum switching? Could be a good short below $3.80 targeting $3.50 and $3.20. HOT PLAY POTENTIAL SHORT. Spikes historically have been met with quick selling after four/five days and 1.6x gain as is present.

BCEI stock nearly doubled in ten days and fundamentally weak, will be looking for change in momentum to short. Change in momentum here, could not break previous day high of $3.90, 7 times in two days (30 min candle), should fall to $3.40 and if strong b/d to $3. Good one to watch tomorrow.

SEED is a classic pump and dump pattern where spikes always met by rapid price falls. Strong movement at end of day as a result of changing directors pulling above previous high of $2.26. Look for dump. Gap up after hours was met by furious panic selling on open after news went public, did not bounce strong. B/d below $2.08 could head to $1.80 but bulk move is now gone.

NEOT breakout above 1.22. Not a great short squeeze opportunity. High volume trading but news not apparent. Gone from $0.70 to $1.20. Holding $1.25 intraday but finishing low. Stock has now doubled. Drop of 10% intraday after breaking $1.25. Will not trade below $1 but potential to fall to $0.70-$0.80 below $1.

KCG at 52 week and ALL time high of $13.60. Broke down below $13.50 but bounced at $13.40. Broke up above previous high of $13.84 and finishing above $14. Messy pattern so not that interested.

FCSC, I am expecting $3 support breakdown to $2.75-$2.50, Morning spike to $3.78 from put immediately dropped on open and bounced at $3.10. Dropped below $3 on low volume, went higher in the afternoon. Did not play as expected and nothing really on the table.

UNXL had a double top. If it cannot break $2.25 another potential short back to $1.75 again.

EXK, PLG uptrending metal plays. If it breaks $3 should be good for $2.75. Same analysis, low volume on Friday. Looking for break below $3.6 on EXK. PLG could be breaking $3 region and good for $0.25. Removing off watchlist, haven’t risen enough in few days on watchlist and choppy – cannot se pattern so sitting out. PLG analysis incorrect, did not break to $2.75 as it met short term resistance at $2.90. Again, big move has already happened, taking off watchlist.

ZEUS near 52W high at 20.59, trending up over past ten days with tendency for morning spike and afternoon pullback. Looked like it was consolidating below $19.75 in past five days before breaking out. Below $19.90 looks good for 11% to $18 downwards. Morning panic restored by b/o above high of $21. Low trading volume so will discontinue watching.

LGCY oil and gas play – hot sector! broke out above $1.60 ish on high volume. Long term crow pattern (dying), always falls on spikes to lower lows. Look for consolidation then weakness. Consolidating below $3. Good for short to $2.40 and $2 target below that.

First day watch à

GSL up from $1.30 to $1.8 but lots of historical resistance above $2 line. Always dropped on spikes. Look for rejection at $2.10 or $2 to short. Fundamentals support theory that this is up on manipulation. This is one to watch in next few days if volume picks up!! Consolidating after three strong previous green days, good for short below $1.80 for fall to $1.50. SHORT.

MCUR has crappy company fundamentals IMO. Down 17% on the day and bounced at $1.25 like predicted. Putting on next day watchlist to see extent of bounce but will only look for shorts now, cannot even hold two days of gains.

AVXL up on positive Alzheimer drug news. $6.35 BO and $6.50 push through on high volume. Fundamental’s not dire but would consider shorting below $5.90. B/d below $5.90 but bounced. Mistake suggesting to short below $5.90 on good news!! Especially with biotech sector reaching new highs.

BTUUQ pink sheet highly volatile and liquid. Gone from $0.60 to $1.60 in ten days. $1.78 high to break. Poor company stats but potential for high squeeze given 58% short ratio.  Squeeze during morning spike and high volume by 26% but lost all gains in afternoon. Losing momentum, watch for green to red switch.

VSTM broke out at $1.73 intraday in afternoon and third green day. Historically this should turn so looking for momentum shift. Appears to have broken out with catalyst of changing staff. Momentum shift as expected due to historicals. Off the main watchlist but see if it breaks on a bounce.

VKTX broke $1.55 in morning spike on high volume. From $1.20 to $1.7 region in four days (40% gain). BO above $1.80 and holding $1.65, previous spikes always sold into (LT downtrend) so look for change in momentum to the downside with first red day; green red switch on daily. On breaking previous day close and low it fell in panic and bounced around $1.40. Breaking back below $1.50 good for short to $1.35.

Secondary Watches à

ONTY only interesting if it breaks or rejects from $1.80 area, recent spike met with fall. Back watchlist. Remove.

CBAY big break potential above $2.60. Just watching for PA, sat at POC of $2.50 historically.  Back watchlist. Really low volume all day until buys in last 10 minutes pushing above $2.60 and finishing at $2.81. Look for rejection at $2.89 for momentum shift downwards.

STS up to new yearly highs on positive earnings play. Back watchlist and remove

SRPT hugeeee bounce of $10.50. Watching for price action.  Remove

RIGL held $2.80 strong resistance into close down from $2.90. Break above $2.97 on upgrade news to Neutral as catalyst. Won’t short on good news and ok fundamentals. Same analysis, no volatility. Playing positively and only see shorts but won’t short on good catalyst as it would be a risky short.

CCLP gas and oil play from $6.50 to $9 in four days. Expecting fall after fourth green day. Target $8.20 (7%). Broke above high of $9.18 and went to $10, historically $10 has been strong support. Momentum turning round and looking good below $9.10. 

April 26th Daily Watchlist - 14 rewatches, 10 new watches

Prior Day Market: S&P – down -0.3%; NSDQ – down -0.2%;

Top watches - $RPRX $VKTX $GSL $SEED $MCUR

Multi-day watch à

RPRX began falling finally, at $2.50 area, strong area for break below.

FMSA high short Ratio could squeeze on breakouts. BUY ON BREAKOUT. Broke down in morning but finishing near open, still for $4 BO.

BCEI big opportunity on breakout for a squeeze. Gapped up and went to $3.95 from prior day close at $3.50. $3.95 for BO but stock nearly doubled in ten days and fundamentally weak, will be looking for change in momentum to short.

SEED is a classic pump and dump pattern where spikes always met by rapid price falls. Strong movement at end of day as a result of changing directors pulling above previous high of $2.26. Look for dump.

NEOT breakout above 1.22. Not a great short squeeze opportunity. High volume trading but news not apparent. Gone from $0.70 to $1.20. Holding $1.25 intraday but finishing low. Stock has now doubled.

KCG at 52 week and ALL time high of $13.60. Broke down below $13.50 but bounced at $13.40.

FCSC, I am expecting $3 support breakdown to $2.75-$2.50, Morning spike to $3.78 from put immediately dropped on open and bounced at $3.10.

UNXL had a double top. Finishing down so potential for $1.75-$2 below $2.25. Could not break above $2.25 in morning, immediate short below $2 and reached $1.75 as expected. Most of gains now lost, potential for $1.30 if $1.75 breaks.

EXK, PLG uptrending metal plays. If it breaks $3 should be good for $2.75. Same analysis, low volume on Friday. Looking for break below $3.6 on EXK. PLG could be breaking $3 region and good for $0.25.

ZEUS near 52W high at 20.59, trending up over past ten days with tendency for morning spike and afternoon pullback. Looked like it was consolidating below $19.75 in past five days before breaking out. Below $19.90 looks good for 11% to $18 downwards.

LGCY oil and gas play – hot sector! broke out above $1.60 ish on high volume. Long term crow pattern (dying), always falls on spikes to lower lows. Breakout above high but look for signs of weakness, fundamentals poor and no news. Sixth green day now and extended almost tripled in five days!! (at high) Lost a majority of morning gains finishing at $2.40. Look for consolidation then weakness.

First day watch à

MCUR went up $0.50 to close at $1.64 yesterday after rejecting at $2 with high volume. BO above $1.80. BD below $1.55 for $0.30 to $0.40 (25%). Crappy company fundamentals IMO.

AVXL up on positive Alzheimer drug news. $6.35 BO and $6.50 push through on high volume. Fundamental’s not dire but would consider shorting below $5.90.

BTUUQ pink sheet highly volatile and liquid. Gone from $0.60 to $1.60 in ten days. $1.78 high to break. Poor company stats but potential for high squeeze given 58% short ratio.  

VSTM broke out at $1.73 intraday in afternoon and third green day. Historically this should turn so looking for momentum shift. Appears to have broken out with catalyst of changing staff.

VKTX broke $1.55 in morning spike on high volume. From $1.20 to $1.7 region in four days (40% gain). BO above $1.80 and holding $1.65, previous spikes always sold into (LT downtrend) so look for change in momentum to the downside with first red day; green red switch on daily.

GSL up from $1.30 to $1.8 but lots of historical resistance above $2 line. Always dropped on spikes. Look for rejection at $2.10 or $2 to short. Fundamentals support theory that this is up on manipulation. This is one to watch in next few days if volume picks up!!

Secondary Watches à

ONTY only interesting if it breaks or rejects from $1.80 area, recent spike met with fall. Back watchlist.

CBAY big break potential above $2.60. Just watching for PA, sat at POC of $2.50 historically.  Back watchlist

STS up to new yearly highs on positive earnings play. Back watchlist

SRPT hugeeee bounce of $10.50. Watching for price action.  

RIGL held $2.80 strong resistance into close down from $2.90. Break above $2.97 on upgrade news to Neutral as catalyst. Won’t short on good news and ok fundamentals. Same analysis, no volatility.

CCLP gas and oil play from $6.50 to $9 in four days. Expecting fall after fourth green day. Target $8.20 (7%). 

April 25th Daily Watchlist Recap

APR 25^th Watchlist Recap

Prior Day Market: S&P – up .05%; NSDQ – down -0.8%; DJIA – up 0.1%

Top watches - $RPRX $KCG $BCEI $ZEUS

Best plays - $RPRX $BCEI $NEOT $FCSC

Multi-day watch à

RPRX looking for short if holds $2.95, with key breakdown below $2.65. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL. Broken below $2.65 intraday, closed at $2.50 area, strong area for break below.

FMSA Rejected $4 but morning spike held $3.75 area, shorts covered last half hour into weekend. See pre-market action for spike above $4. High short Ratio could squeeze on breakouts. BUY ON 

BREAKOUT. Broke down in morning but finishing near open, still for $4 BO.

KCG at 52 week and ALL time high of $13.60. Breaking this could send upwards for $0.50-$1 as seen historically. 0Broke out $13.60 but not with much conviction, if it can hold bounce at $13.70 this should go up. Potential squeeze of shorts. BUY ON BREAKOUT. Broke down below $13.50 but bounced at $13.40.

VHI shows signs of false buying and should come down in due course, 5 green days in a row now and first red day on Friday but illiquid and only marginal. Should fall to $1.75 or $1.50. Taking off watchlist, too illiquid.

FCSC, I am expecting $3 support breakdown to $2.75-$2.50 following third green day yesterday and correlation with XON. XON broke down below $36. Afternoon spike with shorts covering for the weekend, potential morning spike on Monday, good above $3.50 for 50 cents/share in line with previous spikes. Sector bounced up Friday. Morning spike to $3.78 from put immediately dropped on open and bounced at $3.10.

AMPE LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL. Illiquid with afternoon spike, potential morning spike on Monday above $4.25 but running out of steam and will take any opportunity to short higher. Illiquid, get rid off watchlist.

UNXL had a double top. Finishing down so potential for $1.75-$2 below $2.25. Could not break above $2.25 in morning, immediate short below $2 and reached $1.75 as expected. Most of gains now lost, potential for $1.30 if $1.75 breaks.

GNE big spike on big volume historically met with big selling. $8.30 region has held it now 3 or 4 times in the last ten days, can see this coming down if rejected during spike. Sooo illiquid and still rejecting from $8.30. Remove from watchlist.

SEED is a classic pump and dump pattern where spikes always met by rapid price falls. Held $1.90 support but going down soon, not much movement expected as low volume yesterday, bounce to $2.50 would be better to short on. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL. Watch for fall but no liquidity on Friday. No movement, booooring!!

EXK, PLG uptrending metal plays. If it breaks $3 should be good for $2.75. Same analysis, low volume on Friday. Looking for break below $3.6 on EXK. PLG could be breaking $3 region and good for $0.25.

UFI up on positive earnings as catalyst and high volume, big company in textiles with fundamentals i.e. a reason to go up. $28 historical resistance to break, with previous moves of $1-$1.50.First green day. Could reject at $28 due to bitter shareholders and large sells at round number. POTENTIAL BUY. Rejected twice from $28. Volume tiny, but break below $26.80 region could pull down but not going to risk it for little gain on positive catalyst. Remove from watchlist.

First day watch à

BCEI (energy play back on the watchlist from last week) 3.54 and 3.61 both potential catalysts for breakout and almost 40% of stocks short!! Big opportunity on breakout for a squeeze. No big breakout squeeze as desired despite technical catalysts. Gapped up and went to $3.95 from prior day close at $3.50. Could break $3.95 for BO but stock nearly doubled in ten days and fundamentally weak, will be looking for change in momentum to short.

ZEUS near 52W high at 20.59, trending up over past ten days with tendency for morning spike and afternoon pullback. High short ratio could push short squeeze. See if it holds intraday above $20.25 for buy. Were shorts selling to cover for the weekend? Looked like it was consolidating below $19.75 in past five days before breaking out. Below $19.90 looks good for 11% to $18 downwards.

SKY at new highs. Is 11.86 going to act as triple top? Low liquidity, big spread. Move off main watchlist but expect further fall to $10.50 (4%).

NEOT breakout above 1.22. Not a great short squeeze opportunity. High volume trading but news not apparent. Gone from $0.70 to $1.20. Morning gap up to $1.56 on high volume, holding above $1.30 and firmly holding $1.25 intraday.

PACB gapped up on Friday, from $9 to $9.50 which created morning squeeze to $10.75 (not quick enough to call a squeeze really). Retested $10.50 but held, closed strong.  Watch price action for break above $11, if it falls it will likely bounce at $10. High short % so good chance of squeeze. $11 might act as good resistance due to bitter shareholders getting in at $13 highs and selling on breakout opportunity to minimise their losses. Up on earnings as catalyst. Couldn’t hold previous day open, bounced at $10 as expected.

LGCY oil and gas play – hot sector! broke out above $1.60 ish on high volume. Long term crow pattern (dying), always falls on spikes to lower lows. Breakout above high but look for signs of weakness, fundamentals poor and no news. Continue to look for fall, reached $3.24. Sixth green day now and extended almost tripled in five days!! (at high) Lost a majority of morning gains finishing at $2.40.

RIGL held $2.80 strong resistance into close down from $2.90. Break above $2.90 and $2.97 on upgrade news to Neutral as catalyst. Won’t short on good news and ok fundamentals. Same analysis, no volatility.

CCLP gas and oil play from $6.50 to $9 in four days. Holding $8.80 on low liquidity Friday afternoon. Short term stair stepper pattern breaking out each time to new highs and on fourth green day with high volume, could continue above $9.10. Yearly resistance at $10. Historical spikes met with quick drops but need momentum change. No change in day. Expecting fall after fourth green day. Target $8.20 (7%). 

April 25th Daily Watchlist - 12 rewatches, 8 new watches

Prior Day Market: S&P – up .05%; NSDQ – down -0.8%; DJIA – up 0.1%

Top watches - $RPRX $KCG $BCEI $ZEUS

Multi-day watch à

RPRX looking for short if holds $2.95, with key breakdown below $2.65. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL.

KCG at 52 week and ALL time high of $13.60. Breaking this could send upwards for $0.50-$1 as seen historically. Broke out $13.60 but not with much conviction, if it can hold bounce at $13.70 this should go up. Potential squeeze of shorts. BUY ON BREAKOUT.

FMSA Rejected $4 but morning spike held $3.75 area, shorts covered last half hour into weekend. See pre-market action for spike above $4. High short Ratio could squeeze on breakouts. BUY ON BREAKOUT.

VHI shows signs of false buying and should come down in due course, 5 green days in a row now and first red day on Friday but illiquid and only marginal. Should fall to $1.75 or $1.50.

FCSC, I am expecting $3 support breakdown to $2.75-$2.50 following third green day yesterday and correlation with XON. XON broke down below $36. Afternoon spike with shorts covering for the weekend, potential morning spike on Monday, good above $3.50 for 50 cents/share in line with previous spikes. Sector bounced up Friday.

AMPE LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL. Illiquid with afternoon spike, potential morning spike on Monday above $4.25 but running out of steam and will take any opportunity to short higher.

UNXL had a double top. Finishing down so potential for $1.75-$2 below $2.25.

GNE big spike on big volume historically met with big selling. $8.30 region has held it now 3 or 4 times in the last ten days, can see this coming down if rejected during spike.

SEED is a classic pump and dump pattern where spikes always met by rapid price falls. Held $1.90 support but going down soon, not much movement expected as low volume yesterday, bounce to $2.50 would be better to short on. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL. Watch for fall but no liquidity on Friday.

EXK, PLG uptrending metal plays. EXK gapped up again above $4 but could not break $4.20 and finished below $4, suggests it cannot hold. Bearish day on PLG, broke $3.25 level and expect further downside to at least $3 before bounce. If it breaks $3 should be good for $2.75. Same analysis, low volume on Friday.

UFI up on positive earnings as catalyst and high volume, big company in textiles with fundamentals i.e. a reason to go up. $28 historical resistance to break, with previous moves of $1-$1.50.First green day. Could reject at $28 due to bitter shareholders and large sells at round number. POTENTIAL BUY. Rejected twice from $28.

First day watch à

BCEI (energy play back on the watchlist from last week) 3.54 and 3.61 both potential catalysts for breakout and almost 40% of stocks short!! Big opportunity on breakout for a squeeze.

ZEUS near 52W high at 20.59, trending up over past ten days with tendency for morning spike and afternoon pullback. High short ratio could push short squeeze. See if it holds intraday above $20.25 for buy. Were shorts selling to cover for the weekend? Looked like it was consolidating below $19.75 in past five days before breaking out.

SKY at new highs. Is 11.86 going to act as triple top?

NEOT breakout above 1.22. Not a great short squeeze opportunity. High volume trading but news not apparent. Gone from $0.70 to $1.20.

PACB gapped up on Friday, from $9 to $9.50 which created morning squeeze to $10.75 (not quick enough to call a squeeze really). Retested $10.50 but held, closed strong.  Watch price action for break above $11, if it falls it will likely bounce at $10. High short % so good chance of squeeze. $11 might act as good resistance due to bitter shareholders getting in at $13 highs and selling on breakout opportunity to minimise their losses. Up on earnings as catalyst.

LGCY oil and gas play – hot sector! broke out above $1.60 ish on high volume. Long term crow pattern (dying), always falls on spikes to lower lows. Breakout above high but look for signs of weakness, fundamentals poor and no news.

RIGL held $2.80 strong resistance into close down from $2.90. Break above $2.90 and $2.97 on upgrade news to Neutral as catalyst. Won’t short on good news and ok fundamentals.

CCLP gas and oil play from $6.50 to $9 in four days. Holding $8.80 on low liquidity Friday afternoon. Short term stair stepper pattern breaking out each time to new highs and on fourth green day with high volume, could continue above $9.10. Yearly resistance at $10. Historical spikes met with quick drops but need momentum change. 

April 22nd Daily Watchlist Recap - 12 rewatches, 6 new watches

APR 22^nd Watchlist Recap – 12 rewatches, 6 new watches

Prior Day Market: S&P – up 0.1%; NSDQ – down 0.05%; DJIA – down 0.6%

Day Market: S&P – up .05%; NSDQ – down -0.8%; DJIA – up 0.1%

Top watches - $RPRX $VHI $FCSC $AMPE $UFI

Multi-day watch à

RPRX finished below $3 with a low of $2.80 for the day, could not break above $2.95. Predicting a fall to $2. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL. $2.65 new downside to break. Has not broken downside yet and still could not break hold 2.95 upside during morning spike, consolidating on no news.

VHI is a crappy company with huge short ratio leaving room for squeezes on a breakout. Uptrending past 8 days with no news or message board chatter, suggests manipulation from $1.20 to $2. Break above $2.10 for $0.40-$0.60 ish. Volume fading suggests short below $2. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL. Still no news, I believe false buying has brought it this high and will come down in due course, 5^th green day in a row now. First red day on Friday but illiquid and only marginal. Should fall to $1.75 or $1.50.

FCSC, I am expecting $3 support breakdown to $2.75-$2.50 following third green day yesterday and correlation with XON. XON broke down below $36. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL. Broke just below $3 but did not hold. Afternoon spike with shorts covering for the weekend, potential morning spike on Monday, good above $3.50 for 50 cents/share in line with previous spikes.

AMPE due a correction downwards as it has been squeezing shorts. HAD ITS FIRST NEGATIVE DAY YESTERDAY AFTER THREE GREEN DAYS! Finishing below $4 in the afternoon fade. Expecting drop to $3.50 if breaks near term $3.80 support. This is going DOWN, LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL . Illiquid with afternoon spike, potential morning spike on Monday above $4.25 but running out of steam and will take any opportunity to short higher.

UNXL upwards stair stepper pattern. Positive move yesterday (See Apr21st recap). If it can maintain $2.40 near term support it should break resistance of $2.81. Looks like a double top, could be bearish now below $2.20. Down 13% with a long daily crow pattern consistently falling. Should have called the double top a day prior as that is where the bulk of the move was. Finishing down so potential for 

$1.75-$2 below $2.25.

GNE big spike on big volume historically met with big selling. Still looking for short below $8 to hold, wait for second touch to confirm resistance as yesterday it broke down and touched $8 several times before breaking back above. $8.30 region has held it now 3 or 4 times in the last ten days, can see this coming down.

HERO FELL OFF A CLIFF yesterday, broke $3.75 and held below, falling by 40% on the day. Bounce at $3 then fell to $2.25. Potential bounce at $2 but fundamentally this is short. Morning spike but finished down with shorts into weekend at $2.16. REMOVE FROM WATCHLIST.

SEED is a classic pump and dump pattern where spikes always met by rapid price falls. Held $1.90 support but going down soon, not much movement expected as low volume yesterday, bounce to $2.50 would be better to short on. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL. Watch for fall but no liquidity on Friday.

CANN rising in hype of 4/20. Insiders looking to release shares on spikes causing a fall soon back to lows of around $0.75 which caused expected fall below for $0.25 loss once it broke $1.50. Potential bounce at $1.25 but looking again to short if it breaks.  Volume dried up completely, get rid.

EXK, PLG uptrending metal plays. EXK gapped up again above $4 but could not break $4.20 and finished below $4, suggests it cannot hold. Bearish day on PLG, broke $3.25 level and expect further downside to at least $3 before bounce. If it breaks $3 should be good for $2.75. Same analysis, low volume on Friday.

VMW watching for $60 breakout. Volume dried up Friday.

First day watch à

UFI up on positive earnings as catalyst and high volume, big company in textiles with fundamentals i.e. a reason to go up. $28 historical resistance to break, with previous moves of $1-$1.50.First green day. Could reject at $28 due to bitter shareholders and large sells at round number. POTENTIAL BUY. Rejected twice from $28.

CAPR biotech jumped from $3.26 to $4.40 after breaking near term consolidation resistance of $3.30 on high volume. No news that I can find and little message board chatter which suggests false move up and potential short if it can break historical $4-$3.75 resistance level (huuuuuge resistance last year).  Could break above $4.60. Illiquid most days though. Friday vol. dried up and could not drop below $3.75.

AZUR only interesting if it breaks $1.50 again. Get rid.

FMSA could breakout above $3.75 high, maintained break above $3.50 but expected trouble at $4. Research further if rejects $4. Rejected $4 but morning spike held $3.75 area, shorts covered last half hour into weekend.

KCG at 52 week and ALL time high of $13.60. Breaking this could send upwards for $0.50-$1 as seen historically. Have not done fundamental research on this but see no immediate news. Choppy historically.

FSM technically if breaks $6.20 (around 2 year high) could extend to $7. Bit choppy in 10 day chart for me to play, keeping on back watchlist. 

April 22nd Daily Watchlist - 12 rewatches, 6 new watches

Prior Day Market: S&P – up 0.1%; NSDQ – down 0.05%; DJIA – down 0.6%

Top watches - $RPRX $VHI $FCSC $AMPE $UFI

Research on new watches less thorough today as I was rushed, still some key technical points to watch for. 

Multi-day watch à

RPRX finished below $3 with a low of $2.80 for the day, could not break above $2.95. Predicting a fall to $2. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL. $2.65 new downside to break.

VHI is a crappy company with huge short ratio leaving room for squeezes on a breakout. Uptrending past 8 days with no news or message board chatter, suggests manipulation from $1.20 to $2. Break above $2.10 for $0.40-$0.60 ish. Volume fading suggests short below $2. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL. Still no news, I believe false buying has brought it this high and will come down in due course, 5^th green day in a row now.

FCSC, I am expecting $3 support breakdown to $2.75-$2.50 following third green day yesterday and correlation with XON. XON broke down below $36. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL

AMPE due a correction downwards as it has been squeezing shorts. HAD ITS FIRST NEGATIVE DAY YESTERDAY AFTER THREE GREEN DAYS! Finishing below $4 in the afternoon fade. Expecting drop to $3.50 if breaks near term $3.80 support. This is going DOWN, LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL .

UNXL upwards stair stepper pattern. Positive move yesterday (See Apr21st recap). If it can maintain $2.40 near term support it should break resistance of $2.81. Looks like a double top, could be bearish now below $2.20.

GNE big spike on big volume historically met with big selling. Still looking for short below $8 to hold, wait for second touch to confirm resistance as yesterday it broke down and touched $8 several times before breaking back above.

HERO FELL OFF A CLIFF yesterday, broke $3.75 and held below, falling by 40% on the day. Bounce at $3 then fell to $2.25. Potential bounce at $2 but fundamentally this is short.

SEED is a classic pump and dump pattern where spikes always met by rapid price falls. Held $1.90 support but going down soon, not much movement expected as low volume yesterday, bounce to $2.50 would be better to short on. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL.

CANN rising in hype of 4/20. Insiders looking to release shares on spikes causing a fall soon back to lows of around $0.75 which caused expected fall below for $0.25 loss once it broke $1.50. Potential bounce at $1.25 but looking again to short if it breaks.  

EXK, PLG uptrending metal plays. EXK gapped up again above $4 but could not break $4.20 and finished below $4, suggests it cannot hold. Bearish day on PLG, broke $3.25 level and expect further downside to at least $3 before bounce. If it breaks $3 should be good for $2.75.

VMW watching for $60 breakout.

First day watch à

UFI up on positive earnings as catalyst and high volume, big company in textiles with fundamentals i.e. a reason to go up. $28 historical resistance to break, with previous moves of $1-$1.50.First green day. Could reject at $28 due to bitter shareholders and large sells at round number. POTENTIAL BUY.

CAPR biotech jumped from $3.26 to $4.40 after breaking near term consolidation resistance of $3.30 on high volume. No news that I can find and little message board chatter which suggests false move up and potential short if it can break historical $4-$3.75 resistance level (huuuuuge resistance last year).  Could break above $4.60. Illiquid most days though.

AZUR only interesting if it breaks $1.50 again.

FMSA could breakout above $3.75 high, maintained break above $3.50 but expected trouble at $4. Research further if rejects $4.

KCG at 52 week and ALL time high of $13.60. Breaking this could send upwards for $0.50-$1 as seen historically. Have not done fundamental research on this but see no immediate news. Choppy historically.

FSM technically if breaks $6.20 (around 2 year high) could extend to $7. Bit choppy in 10 day chart for me to play, keeping on back watchlist. 

April 21st Watchlist Recap

Recap from yesterday's watchlist, in red. 

Prior Day Market: S&P – up 0.1%; NSDQ – down 0.05%; DJIA – down 0.6%

Top watches - $RPRX $UNXL $GNE $VHI $AMPE $BCEI

Second day watch à

RPRX finished below $3 with a low of $2.80 for the day, could not break above $2.95. Predicting a fall to $2. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL. $2.65 new downside to break.

UNXL upwards stair stepper pattern. Strong open on positive news, finished at high of the day $2.35. Breakout above $2.50 for $3. BUY SIGNAL. Broke out above $2.50 as expected in morning spike, bounced once and finished above for the day, $2.88 was high. If it can maintain $2.40 near term support it should break resistance of $2.81.

GNE big spike on big volume historically met with big selling. One day move $6.75 to $8.25. At key breakdown point of $8 after down 0.24. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL. False breakdown below $8 in the afternoon, finished strong at $8.11 and up for the day.

VHI is a crappy company with huge short ratio leaving room for squeezes on a breakout. Uptrending past 8 days with no news or message board chatter, suggests manipulation from $1.20 to $2. Break above $2.10 for $0.40-$0.60 ish. Volume fading suggests short below $2. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL. Still no news, I believe false buying has brought it this high.

HERO broken $3.25 resistance on high volume. $3.50 breakout but look to short in next few days with bad fundamentals and no news, going up with other oil plays.  Potential morning gap up and breakout above 4.30, but short below $3.75 if broken and then below $3 for $0.50 potential. Fell below $3.75 twice but did not hold. Finished bearish. FELL OFF A CLIFF, broke $3.75 and held below, falling by 40% on the day. Bounce at $3 then fell to $2.25. Potential bounce at $2 but fundamentally this is short.

FELP is an energy play moving with oil. Watch for continued bounce to $2.80. Back watchlist.  Not bouncing as expected, remove from watchlist.

SEED is a classic pump and dump pattern where spikes always met by rapid price falls. Morning spike but could not hold into the evening, fell below $2. $1.90 near term support and break down below $1.75. Held $1.90 support but going down soon, not much movement expected, bounce to $2.50 would be better to short on.

CANN rising in hype of 4/20. Crappyyyy fundamentals and no data on shares short – dodgy. PA move suggests bad earnings, short below $1.50 for $0.25-$0.35. Insiders looking to release shares on spikes causing a fall soon back to lows of around $0.75. As expected, fall below for $0.25 loss, once it broke $1.50 it held the near term resistance level, potential bounce at $1.25.

EXK, PLG uptrending metal plays. EXK gapped up from $3 to $3.30 at open, finishing near day high of $3.85. $4 key historical resistance. PLG break below $3.25 to a potential $2.50-$2.75, high volume could not push it above $3.80 intraday.  EXK breakdown below $3.50. EXK gapped up again above $4 but could not break $4.20 and finished below $4, suggests it cannot hold. Bearish day on PLG, broke $3.25 level and expect further downside to at least $3 before bounce. If it breaks $3 should be good for $2.75.

GRAM has had strong gains from $4 to $7.50 in 7 days. 1bn market cap and breaking out to new highs above $8. Watching just to see price action. Expecting it to dip and bounce at $6.50 if it does not break $8. Watching for dip bounce at $6.50 or break above $8.  Continue watching, nothing interesting today.

First day watch à

AMPE due a correction downwards as it has been squeezing shorts. Will watch for short day signs, below $4 should fall to $3.50 but currently on third green day so could go higher. Classic pump and dump signs in history, rising $2-3 each time.  LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNALS. HAD ITS FIRST NEGATIVE DAY YESTERDAY! Finishing below $4 in the afternoon fade. Expecting drop to $3.50 if breaks near term $3.80 support.

BCEI (oil play) has risen from $1.5 to $3; it broke out above $2.6 previous resistance level yesterday. Could gap up, above $3.10 would push to $3.45 resistance. Above $3.45 this is a breakout with strong volume again especially with 15.78m shares short from 47m float, short squeeze potential huuuuge, with added bitter shareholders from 2015. Looks like it could break to $4-$4.50 before pullback based on historical yearly spikes. Lots of message board hype. BUY SIGNALS. Pushed for $3.60 high as expected and did not hold $3.50, afternoon fade finished below $3.

STRP from $30/$31 to $37 in one day with high volume.  Potential dip buy at $35 but more interested in re-shorting on down day especially with strong resistance at $37-$40. Potential positive license news for rise but will not hold. 25% of float as shorts so dangerous for squeezes up.  $34 was better resistance with shorts covering quickly.  

VMW watching to see how large cap (24bn) on positive news on top paying company in US plays out.  Gapped up yesterday from $53 to $56 and touched high of $59.23. Break above $60. Did not break $60.

FCSC good chance at breakout above $3.15 on high volume. Risen $2.30 to $3 so potential for move higher.  XON could break higher in correlation above $38, same as ZIOP above $9.5. $3 support breakdown to $2.75-$2.50, third green day yesterday. following XON. XON broke down below $36, good short opportunity on open with massive volume.

CCLP oil and gas play break above $8. Positive earnings and potential further gains as judged by previous spikes. Low volume play but broke $8 and quickly reached $8.60 (<1 hour) for resistance. Good short if rejected from $8.60 on YTD chart.

CCXI technical breakout above $2.60 on high volume. Strong support at $2.25. Broke to $2.75 in morning spike, could break up again if holds $2.60 support.  

April 21st Daily Watchlist - 11 rewatches, 7 new watches

Prior Day Market: S&P – up 0.1%; NSDQ – up 0.2%; DJIA – up 0.2%

Top watches - $RPRX $UNXL $GNE $VHI $AMPE $BCEI

Second day watch à

RPRX finished below $3 with a low of $2.80 for the day, could not break above $2.95. Predicting a fall to $2. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL.

UNXL upwards stair stepper pattern. Strong open on positive news, finished at high of the day $2.35. Breakout above $2.50 for $3. BUY SIGNAL.

GNE big spike on big volume historically met with big selling. One day move $6.75 to $8.25. At key breakdown point of $8 after down 0.24. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL.

VHI is a crappy company with huge short ratio leaving room for squeezes on a breakout. Uptrending past 8 days with no news or message board chatter, suggests manipulation from $1.20 to $2. Break above $2.10 for $0.40-$0.60 ish. Volume fading suggests short below $2. LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNAL.

HERO broken $3.25 resistance on high volume. $3.50 breakout but look to short in next few days with bad fundamentals and no news, going up with other oil plays.  Potential morning gap up and breakout above 4.30, but short below $3.75 if broken and then below $3 for $0.50 potential. Fell below $3.75 twice but did not hold. Finished bearish.

FELP is an energy play moving with oil. Watch for continued bounce to $2.80. Back watchlist.  

SEED is a classic pump and dump pattern where spikes always met by rapid price falls. Morning spike but could not hold into the evening, fell below $2. $1.90 near term support and break down below $1.75.

CANN rising in hype of 4/20. Crappyyyy fundamentals and no data on shares short – dodgy. PA move suggests bad earnings, short below $1.50 for $0.25-$0.35. Insiders looking to release shares on spikes causing a fall soon back to lows of around $0.75.

EXK, PLG uptrending metal plays. EXK gapped up from $3 to $3.30 at open, finishing near day high of $3.85. $4 key historical resistance. PLG break below $3.25 to a potential $2.50-$2.75, high volume could not push it above $3.80 intraday.  EXK breakdown below $3.50.

GRAM has had strong gains from $4 to $7.50 in 7 days. 1bn market cap and breaking out to new highs above $8. Watching just to see price action. Expecting it to dip and bounce at $6.50 if it does not break $8. Watching for dip bounce at $6.50 or break above $8.

First day watch à

AMPE due a correction downwards as it has been squeezing shorts. Will watch for short day signs, below $4 should fall to $3.50 but currently on third green day so could go higher. Classic pump and dump signs in history, rising $2-3 each time.  LOOK FOR SHORT SIGNALS.

BCEI (oil play) has risen from $1.5 to $3; it broke out above $2.6 previous resistance level yesterday. Could gap up, above $3.10 would push to $3.45 resistance. Above $3.45 this is a breakout with strong volume again especially with 15.78m shares short from 47m float, short squeeze potential huuuuge, with added bitter shareholders from 2015. Looks like it could break to $4-$4.50 before pullback based on historical yearly spikes. Lots of message board hype. BUY SIGNALS

STRP from $30/$31 to $37 in one day with high volume.  Potential dip buy at $35 but more interested in re-shorting on down day especially with strong resistance at $37-$40. Potential positive license news for rise but will not hold. 25% of float as shorts so dangerous for squeezes up.   

VMW watching to see how large cap (24bn) on positive news on top paying company in US plays out.  Gapped up yesterday from $53 to $56 and touched high of $59.23. Break above $60.

FCSC good chance at breakout above $3.15 on high volume. Risen $2.30 to $3 so potential for move higher.  XON could break higher in correlation above $38, same as ZIOP above $9.5.

CCLP oil and gas play break above $8. Positive earnings and potential further gains as judged by previous spikes.

CCXI technical breakout above $2.60 on high volume. Strong support at $2.25. 

April 20th Daily Watchlist - 5 rewatches, 13 new watches

Prior Day Market: S&P – up 0.9%; NSDQ – down 0.4%; DJIA – up 0.3%

Top watches - $RPRX $UNXL $SEED $CBAY

Second day watch à

RPRX price spikes of $2 with morning gap up and intraday spike from $3 to $3.45. Day finished above $3 support level. Look for first red day as historically sold after these spikes. Below $2.70 short signal. And being promoted.

UNXL upwards stair stepper pattern. Another positive day, consolidating at support of $1.85. Short below $1.70 but only for $0.30-$0.40 move.

GNE big spike on big volume historically met with big selling. One day move $6.75 to $8.25. Consolidation around $8 on second day. Short on red day below $8. Resistance at $9 with bitter shareholders expected to sell positions.

HERO broken $3.25 resistance on high volume. $3.50 breakout but look to short in next few days with bad fundamentals and no news, going up with other oil plays.  Potential morning gap up and breakout above 4.30, but short below $3.75 if broken and then below $3 for $0.50 potential.

FELP is an energy play moving with oil. Morning breakout as anticipated from $2.10 to $2.80. Potential bounce and if double top at $2.80 SHORT.

First day watch à

SEED only worth watching if it breaks $2.50 and $2.80 which is yearly high. Classic pump and dump pattern where spikes always met by rapid price falls. Investor meeting at Wells Fargo Securities on 26^th April.  

CBAY confirmed break of $1.9 short term. Breakout above $3.20 would push to $4 but uptrending purely on news of insider buying. Fundamentals not great. Gone from $1.70 to $2.20 so not enough upside to consider shorting yet.

VHI is a crappy company with huge short ratio leaving room for squeezes on a breakout. Uptrending past 8 days with no news or message board chatter, suggests manipulation from $1.20 to $2. Break above $2.10 for $0.40-$0.60 ish.

CANN rising in hype of 4/20. Crappyyyy fundamentals and no data on shares short – dodgy. Insiders looking to release shares on spikes causing a fall soon back to lows of around $0.75. Earnings release play on 20/04. First red day, down to $1.70 but let earnings play out tomorrow.

GRNH, TRTC on the 4/20 bandwagon. GRNH Stock price doubled with good news on revenues early April from 0.05 to 0.10 with two big green days. Look to short on first red day.

EXK, PLG, TMST, AAU uptrending metal plays. EXK gapped up from $3 to $3.30 at open, finishing near day high of $3.85. $4 key historical resistance. TMST breaking out above $12.50 to $15 – $5 historical spikes met with short opportunities, below $11.

SID steel play from $2 to $3.75 in 10 days, a little slow but up near highs. Breakout above $3.80. 5bn market cap and a little too liquid (4m) for me.

SXE gas play strong close breaking cup and handle at $2. Breakout to $3 expected technically. Drowning in debt with large short squeeze potential on breakouts. Earnings call Friday so will watch.

GRAM has had strong gains from $4 to $7.50 in 7 days. 1bn market cap and breaking out to new highs above $8. Watching just to see price action. Expecting it to dip and bounce at $6.50 if it does not break $8.